After a tumultuous first two days in OWL, Friday saw all three favorites win their matches in fairly dominant fashion. On Saturday we’ve got three matches that are close to toss-ups.
Florida Mayhem take on Philadelphia Fusion in a match that Fusion absolutely need to win, Boston and Houston face off after surpising wins on Thursday and the London vs. New York rivalry is renewed once again in the final game.
Stage Three Picks Record
Florida Mayhem (4-17, 0-1 S3) Vs Philadelphia Fusion (13-8, 0-1 S3)
Ian: Fusion 3-1
This match will be a lot closer than the overall records would make you think. Mayhem are getting better every week and Fusion just stumbled against Boston. Still Fusion need this game if they have any real hopes of making it back to the stage playoffs and I think they’ll come out hungry. Mayhem will take a map, but Fusion will still be able to right the ship.
Ollie: Fusion 3-2
This game could honestly go either way as both teams have a pretty dire record on three of the fours maps they’ll be playing. However, I’m backing Fusion to take the series due to their superior support line up, and more settled line up. Even though Shadowburn looked rusty in Philly’s last match, he still remains the best Genji and Pharah on the team, and hopefully we can see him return to his stage one form. One thing I am excited for though; the potential Carpe vs Sayaplaya Widowmaker duels. The recent Mayhem signing comes with a big reputation as the best Widowmaker in Korea, and we got a glimpse of his skill on Route 66 against NYXL, dominating Libero.
Houston Outlaws (13-8, 1-0 S3) Vs Boston Uprising (13-8, 1-0 S3)
Ian: Houston 3-2
Boston has never beaten Houston and despite identical 13-8 records Houston’s ceiling is much higher than Boston’s. It’ll be close, but the map pool favors Houston and they have all the momentum coming off a huge win over London. Dreamkazper’s Pharah will be a real problem as Houston doesn’t really have anyone to play Pharah against him, but while that may cost Houston the control map, they should be able to take the Payload maps. LinKzr on Widowmaker will be tough for Boston to keep in check. Houston in 5.
Ollie: Houston 3-1
I think these teams are very even at the moment, but Outlaws have the edge with Junkertown and Numbani rotating in, so expect them to pick up wins on the payload maps. I still have question marks about Houston’s quality on a lot of the DPS heroes, but when Linkzr and Jake are on their favourites, they’re among the best in the league. Dreamkazper’s flexibility may cause the Texan team problems though.
This match may well come down to who takes Nepal. If Boston can win the control map, I can see this going to a game five, and I’d favour the Uprising to take the series if it does.
New York Excelsior (19-2, 1-0 S3) Vs London Spitfire (15-6, 0-1 S3)
Ian: London 3-2
So technically London is 2-1 against NYXL if you include the Stage One Championship, but since NYXL lost to London without ArK in week one of Stage Two they haven’t lost another match. In fact since that loss, NYXL have lost just 5 regular season maps. But London isn’t a pushover and these two teams will go to a 5th map for the 4th straight time, ending in New York’s third loss of the season.
Ollie: NYXL 3-2
The last time these sides met, Excelsior pushed London to a close a game five with Mano filling in on the primary support role, so I’m backing ArK’s return to make the difference here. His shotcalling and synergy with Jjonak are the foundation on which NYXL are built, and the team pour all their resources into protecting the pair.
As for Spitfire’s line up, I expect Woohyal to start. His more defensive D.Va playstyle will be vital in nullifying Saebyeolbe and protecting London’s support line, and if they stay alive, so does Gesture. Whatever the outcome, this will be a close and exciting game.